2018.2.23
How to Utilize Uncertain Scientific Information to Mitigate Disaster: Exploration of “The Study Group for Countermeasures on the Forecast of Nankai Trough Earthquakes”
The “Nankai Trough” is a groove in the deep-ocean formed by plate subduction, which extends from off the coast of Shizuoka to off the coast of Miyazaki. In the vicinity of this area, large earthquakes have occurred quite frequently. Historically, there were cases in which Tonankai and Nankai earthqakes occurred consecutively, resulting in great disasters, such as the Ansei Earthquakes (1854) and Showa Earthquakes (1944 and 1946). In Japan, following the Great East Japan Earthquake, re-examinatio...