Research and Practice

2026 Disaster Resilience Co-Creation Research Project

The following is a list of research projects adopted under the 2026 Disaster Resilience Co-Creation Research Project.

3. Research contributing to the enhancement of disaster resilience, related to the research content of four key research areas.

  1 Fundamental research on the development of Digital Twins

(1) SimDisaster: A World Model-Augmented LLM Agent Framework for Tsunami Evacuation Simulation Calibrated with Human Mobility Data

Principal Investigator

Xuan Liu(BreathingCORE Limited)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Erick Mas(Disaster Geo-informatics Lab)

Summary of the Research

This project develops SimDisaster: LLM agents simulate tsunami evacuation at population scale with a Disaster World Model (DWM) tracking road passability, expected inundation depth, and safe-area capacity so agents reason before acting. Agent personas are first grounded in published post-disaster survey findings (delay reasons, mode choice, information-seeking behavior) and then refined through pattern-oriented calibration against multiple aggregate patterns from NTT DOCOMO Mobile Spatial Statistics for the 2024 Noto Peninsula earthquake—departure-time curves, zone-to-zone flows, and safe-area arrivals. Agents produce interpretable natural-language decisions throughout.

(2) Disaster management system encompassing countermeasure and recovery processes for bridges under seismic and tsunami hazards

Principal Investigator

Hiroki Ishibashi(Nihon University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Shunichi Koshimura(Disaster Geo-informatics Lab)

Summary of the Research

Earthquake damage to bridges can significantly degrade the road network functionality, which is a key performance indicator of resilience. This project develops a resilience-based disaster management framework for bridges under seismic and tsunami hazards to enhance disaster preparedness for megathrust earthquakes anticipated in Japan. The framework integrates probabilistic hazard analysis, bridge vulnerability assessments and network-level performance (i.e., resilience) evaluation. A bi-level optimization model is formulated in the framework. The upper-level problem determines optimal earthquake countermeasures for individual bridges to maximize network resilience. Under the countermeasures determined at the upper level, the lower-level problem optimizes post-earthquake bridge repair scheduling under resource constraints to maximize the resilience of the road network during the recovery process.

(3) An implementation-oriented study utilizing a Social Digital Twin to support the design of resilient adaptation and transformation scenarios in social, community, macroeconomic, and administrative systems in depopulated and super-aging regions triggered by large-scale disasters

Principal Investigator

Shigeo Tatsuki(Doshisha Univercity)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Shunichi Koshimura(Disaster Geo-informatics Lab)

Summary of the Research

Based on the operational workflow for developing individualized evacuation plans (including evacuation drills) in Kijo Town, Miyazaki Prefecture, this study reconstructs the process into a Social Digital Twin that incorporates state variables, temporal dimensions, feedback mechanisms, and simulation functions, enabling alignment with real-world operations.
Furthermore, by linking this model with an individualized evacuation plan database, the study implements a personalized risk communication system that delivers real-time reminders of required actions according to alert levels, while also confirming receipt and subsequent actions for each individual.

(4) Examining Social Impact Assessment Methods for the International Deployment of Disaster Digital Twins through Human Mobility Data

Principal Investigator

Shohei Nagata(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This study examines the applicability of social impact assessment methods using human mobility data for the international deployment of disaster digital twins. Building on the research team’s previous work in Japan, it investigates whether approaches developed to monitor evacuation behavior and post-disaster recovery processes can be applied in other national contexts. The study consists of three main components: a workshop with Japanese and U.S. researchers and stakeholders, a comparison of human mobility datasets from the two countries, and analyses of human mobility during actual disasters in the U.S. Through these efforts, the study will clarify the conditions, scope, and limitations of mobility-based social impact assessment in the U.S. context and provide foundational knowledge to support the future international development of disaster digital twins.

(5) Enhance Tsunami Digital Twin Modeling by Estimating Coastal Bathymetry from a Fusion of SAR and Optical Imagery

Principal Investigator

Bruno Adriano (IRIDeS,Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

Building a highly accurate 3D "Digital Twin" to predict tsunami impacts requires detailed underwater maps (bathymetry). Currently, acquiring this data using traditional ship surveys is slow and expensive. This project will develop a groundbreaking, cost-effective method to estimate coastal water depths directly from space by combining AI with optical and radar (SAR) satellite imagery. Focusing on the high-risk area of Kochi City, we will build Japan's first comprehensive AI training datasets for shallow- and intermediate-depth mapping. This rapid, scalable approach will revolutionize how coastal communities worldwide update hazard models and prepare for future tsunamis.

(6) Development of Multi-scenario Disaster Digital Twin Based on Evacuation Logs and Verification of Educational Effectiveness

Principal Investigator

Shosuke Sato(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This research advances the high-fidelity "Disaster Digital Twin" developed under the JST PRESTO program by integrating dynamic evacuation logs of actual survivors. The project focuses on creating multiple interactive scenarios that reproduce realistic evacuation obstacles, such as safety checks and decision-making delays. Through empirical experiments with 50 participants, we will quantitatively evaluate the system's impact on changing the evacuation mindset of non-victims, aiming to establish a highly effective, evidence-based disaster education model.

(7) Developing a Disaster Digital Twin for Landslide-Dam Failure Evacuation Using Human Mobility Data and Agent-Based Modeling

Principal Investigator

Ray Y. Chuang(National Taiwan University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Erick Mas(Disaster Geo-informatics Lab)

Summary of the Research

This research develops a disaster digital twin framework to reconstruct a landslide dam failure event in Taiwan and associated population responses. By integrating environmental data and mobile phone–based mobility data, the study represents both hazard processes and human dynamics within a unified system. An agent-based model (ABM) is used to simulate evacuation behavior, where individuals respond to changing conditions. The results are used to build a dynamic platform that allows continuous updates of hazard and population changes. This case-study framework aims to compare observed and simulated evacuation responses to support scenario-based preparedness analysis.

(8) Study on enhancing evacuation simulations through the development of a flood-time population dynamics reproduction model

Principal Investigator

Shinji Yamashita(NIPPON KOEI CO.,LTD.)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Erick Mas(Disaster Geo-informatics Lab)

Summary of the Research

Building on insights obtained from our previous validation of an evacuee estimation method, this study aims to improve the validity of scenario and parameter settings in flood evacuation simulations. To this end, we will develop a macroscopic mobility (flow) prediction model using neural networks that incorporates disaster information, damage history, and land-related data. The resulting predictions will be integrated into the parameterization of an agent-based (microscopic) evacuation simulation to enhance both accuracy and validity, with the ultimate goal of supporting evacuation planning and the evaluation of mitigation measures.

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  2 Fundamental research on the development of a Disaster Data Bank

(1) A Data-Centric AI (DCAI) Driven Disaster Data Bank for Assessing Human Mobility Resilience under Extreme Events

Principal Investigator

Yao Yao(Chinese University of Geoscience(Wuhan))

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Wei Yuan(Co-creation Center for Disaster Resilience)

Summary of the Research

This project addresses the challenge of utilizing noisy, heterogeneous spatiotemporal data in disaster science. By integrating nationwide human trajectory data, POIs, and extreme event records (earthquakes/rainstorms) in Japan, we will construct a high-quality Disaster Data Bank using a Data-Centric AI (DCAI) framework. Based on this robust data foundation, we will quantitatively assess the spatiotemporal disruption and recovery patterns of human mobility and community vitality. The project will yield a standardized multimodal dataset and data provision protocols, empowering precise emergency response and urban resilience evaluations.

(2) Development of an AI-Driven Pipeline for Structuring Disaster Open Data for Integration into the Disaster Data Bank

Principal Investigator

Fumihiko Ueno(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

Disaster-related open data from government agencies and research institutions is growing rapidly, yet its heterogeneous formats hinder cross-disciplinary analysis. This study develops an automated pipeline leveraging AI technologies, including large language models (LLMs), to transform unstructured data—such as government damage reports, meteorological observations, and satellite imagery—into structured, analysis-ready formats. The pipeline also addresses legal compliance in data collection and validates the usability of structured outputs through public health analysis scenarios, aiming to establish a replicable methodology for disaster data integration.

(3) Clarifying Data Utilization Practices in Disaster Science Research and Systematizing Database Design Requirements for Disaster Data Infrastructure

Principal Investigator

Sayuri Nonaka(Tohoku University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Susumu Fujii (Disaster Medical Informatics Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study aims to clarify data utilization practices in disaster science research and systematize database design requirements for disaster data infrastructure development. By analyzing high-impact papers across diverse fields of disaster research, this study will use a large language model (LLM) to extract and classify the types of data used, their formats, modes of use, and the associated processing and analytical methods. The analysis will cover diverse data sources, including observational data, statistics, administrative records, medical information, news materials, and social media data, as well as structured, semi-structured, and unstructured formats.
The extracted information will be validated through a manual review and compiled into an analytical dataset for cross-disciplinary quantitative analysis. Based on the results, this study will identify the data requirements, processing and standardization methods, rights-related considerations, and conditions for secondary use necessary for disaster database construction. By organizing these elements and proposing design guidelines for a data-sharing and reuse infrastructure, this study contributes to improving the reproducibility and reliability of disaster research.
This project will provide an empirical basis for building a disaster data-sharing and reuse infrastructure that improves research reproducibility, promotes effective data utilization, and supports disaster response and resilience.

(4) Building a platform for local natural disaster archiving.

Principal Investigator

Misao Hashimoto(Gifu University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Akihiro Shibayama(Disaster Culture and Archive Studies)

Summary of the Research

Disaster prevention researchers from Gifu University, Co-Innovation University, Tohoku University,Shinshu University, Kumamoto University, Senshu University and the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention will bring together their accumulated knowledge of regional disaster archives and conduct research on the construction of a platform that enables cooperation and collaboration to facilitate system construction, operation and maintenance. The utilisation of the archives constructed will also be discussed and be implemented.

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  3  Research contributing to the enhancement of disaster resilience, related to the research content of four key research areas.

 1. Quantifying disaster resilience

(1) Quantification of disaster recovery indicators through integration of remote sensing and machine learning

Principal Investigator

Hiroyuki Miura(Hiroshima University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Osamu Murao(International Strategy for Disaster Mitigation Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study will develop indicators of disaster recovery using time-series analysis that leverages satellite remote sensing data and machine learning for developing countries where spatial data infrastructure is insufficient. We will conduct an analysis of the areas affected by the 2018 Sulawesi earthquake in Indonesia to verify the validity and usefulness of the proposed indicators.

(2) Assessing Flood Hazard and Risk S-Curves in Indonesia Using Satellite Data and Hydrological Models    

Principal Investigator

Amalia Nafisah Rahmani Irawan(Tohoku University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Daisuke Komori(Water Disaster Risk Research Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study develops and validates a flood hazard and risk S-curve framework for two contrasting river catchments in West Java, Indonesia, the Citarum and Cimanuk basins. Relying solely on globally available open datasets: ERA5 precipitation, Global Surface Water (GSW), and WorldPop population data, integrated with the Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) model, the framework quantifies at 500 m grid scale how effectively DRR investments have reduced flood risk relative to fundamental hazard levels over 1986 – 2025 as main study period. The contrasting DRR histories of the two basins; Citarum's long-established multi-reservoir system versus Cimanuk's Jatigede reservoir operational only since 2015, provide a natural comparative setting for validating the method's sensitivity to detect real differences in risk reduction effectiveness.

2. Human resilience

(1) Disaster Education and Memory Transmission in Post-Disaster Ishinomaki: A 15-Year Assessment Based on a Tripartite Survey

Principal Investigator

Aiko Sakurai(Kobe University

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Takeshi Sato(Disaster Education Research and Implementation Lab)

Summary of the Research

In Ishinomaki City, which marks the 15th anniversary of the Great East Japan Earthquake, this study conducts a tripartite survey involving students, teachers, and parents in collaboration with the municipal Board of Education.
This survey is uniquely enabled by the research team’s continuous engagement in both field-based support and academic research over the past 15 years since the disaster.
By examining the structure of tsunami risk understanding and evacuation decision-making across developmental stages, the study empirically demonstrates how disaster education is translated into a continuum from experience to understanding, judgment, and action, thereby contributing to the foundation for enhancing disaster resilience.

(2) Preservation and Dissemination of Diverse Disaster Narratives through Kamishibai

Principal Investigator

Julia Gerster(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

In FY24, we created disaster kamishibai based on interviews with non-Japanese disaster survivors and presented them at an international symposium on diversity and disaster risk reduction. In FY25, we summarized the historical reasons for the success of kamishibai in disaster education and our findings that these performances enhance mental well-being among performers. With extended funding, we aim to further examine the effects of kamishibai on audience understanding of diverse needs in disaster contexts. This next phase will focus on audience surveys, performer interviews, the preparation of co-authored publications grounded in these findings, and a final dissemination workshop.

(3) Collective Memory and Participatory Learning for Disaster Resilience in Taiwan and Japan

Principal Investigator

Elizabeth Maly(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

Facing multi-hazard risks, both Taiwan and Japan have experienced water-related disasters and developed various methods of recording disaster experience and passing down disaster memories. Based on analaysis of disaster and risk narratives conveyed by museums, memorial sites, and community practices, the project explores the transformation of disaster memory into learning. Collaborative research and participatory workshops aim to advance disaster communication, learning and adaptation in hazard-prone environments, and strengthening human and social-ecological resilience. Through the development of a disaster communication game, this project aims to strengthen resilience in everyday life and better prepare for future risks in Japan and Taiwan.

(4) Utilization of Postmortem Imaging (Autopsy Imaging: Ai) for Personal Identification and Cause-of-Death Investigation in Mass Disaster Victims

Principal Investigator

Tomoya Kobayashi(Tohoku University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Koichi Chida(Radiological Disasters and Medical Science Lab)

Summary of the Research

Rapid and accurate identification of disaster victims is essential for enhancing family well-being andoverall disaster resilience. Clarifying the causes of death among disaster victims is also crucial forpreventing disaster-related mortality.The objective of this research is to evaluate the utilization of postmortem imaging (Autopsy imaging:Ai) for personal identification and cause-of-death investigation in mass disaster situations.

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3. Disaster information curation

(1)  A Proposal for a network-based protection model for local cultural heritage in a depopulating society

Principal Investigator

Taro Kataoka(Hirosaki University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Atsushi Kawauchi(Uehiro Disaster Risk Reduction Research Division)

Summary of the Research

This research proposes a specific model for a network-based protection system to safeguard and transmit local cultural heritage in depopulated areas. Drawing on case studies from depopulated regions in Aomori and Iwate Prefectures, among others, it identifies key issues and examines how collaboration among history, cultural heritage studies, and conservation science can help protect local cultural heritage from disasters.

(2) Feasibility Evaluation of Tsunami Evacuation Traffic under Varying Population Distribution Patterns

Principal Investigator

Shin-ya Horiai(Hachinohe Institute of Technology)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Makoto Okumura(Regional Resilience Planning Lab

Summary of the Research

The city of Hachinohe City is selected as the study area, and population distribution patterns are estimated using mobile spatial statistics data. Based on the estimated results, evacuation direction guidance is derived from an optimization-based evacuation model on the existing road network, and its feasibility is evaluated through an agent-based tsunami evacuation traffic simulation. Furthermore, changes in bottlenecks according to actual residential patterns and the effectiveness of corresponding countermeasures are examined.

(3) Interdisciplinary Research on Brain Activity, Eye Movements, and Individual Traits for Designing Principles of Hazard Map Development and Utilization

Principal Investigator

Anna Shinka (IRIDeS,Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This study aims to clarify the cognitive processes and individual differences involved in the understanding and use of hazard maps, and to establish design principles for spatial information presentation and education that enable actionable interpretation by all. By combining brain activity measurement, eye tracking, and questionnaires, the study analyzes how expertise and cognitive traits relate to map reading, and is expected to yield insights that contribute to inclusive disaster risk reduction.

(4) Uncovering Post-Disaster Recovery Processes by Contextually Enriching Mobile Positioning Data Using Retrospective Travel Diaries

Principal Investigator

Fuko Nakai(The University of Tokyo)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Kanako Iuchi(Regional Resilience Planning Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study investigates post-disaster life recovery processes following the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake by integrating mobile positioning data with retrospective travel diaries collected through individual interviews. Through the contextual enrichment of mobile positioning data based on actual life recovery experiences, the research identifies critical limitations in mobile positioning data, including data gaps and biases. The study further develops new mobility indicators and analytical methods designed to more accurately reflect the nuances of daily life during recovery. Ultimately, this research provides a methodological framework for utilizing big data to capture the lived experiences of disaster survivors, to fill the gap between digital information and the ground-level reality.

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4. Disaster resilience co-creation

(1) Promoting Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction Based on Advanced Practices of Disaster Education and Disaster Management in Special Needs Schools

Principal Investigator

Takashi Oda(The University of Tokyo)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Takeshi Sato(Disaster Education Research and Implementation Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study aims to develop a sustainable model of inclusive disaster risk reduction that supports the safety and independence of children with disabilities, based on two strands of practice: seven years of continuous implementation and evaluation of disaster education in a special needs school in Tochigi Prefecture, and disaster management practices to enhance the safety of school bus commuting in Miyagi Prefecture.

(2) A Comparative Assessment of Infrastructure Vulnerability and Natech Risks in the 2025 WUI Fires of Japan and South Korea

Principal Investigator

Hyejeong Park(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This research qualitatively investigates the risks of Natural Hazard-Triggered Technological (Natech) risks within the Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) areas, using the 2025 WUI fires in Ofunato, Japan, and Yeongnam, South Korea. When WUI fires physically intersect with critical infrastructure, institutional misalignments often arise between civil evacuation and infrastructure-containment protocols. To address this structural vulnerability, the study employs a symmetrical comparative methodology, examining official government documents and existing spatial hazards to establish physical Natech risk zones. Finally, it assesses cross-sector protocols to identify regulatory gaps and structural contradictions within these high-risk boundaries. The primary outcome is a cross-national WUI-Natech policy framework. This will provide local municipalities with actionable, evidence-based recommendations to align infrastructure governance with cascading hazard risks.

(3) Real-Time Tsunami Prediction Using Physics-Informed Neural Networks Based on Latent Representation Learning of Offshore Tsunami Observation Data

Principal Investigator

Hirokazu Shimauchi(Future University Hakodate )

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Reika Nomura(Computational Safety Engineering Lab)

Summary of the Research

This project investigates a real-time tsunami wavefield prediction framework that integrates latent representation learning of offshore tsunami observation data with Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). Preliminary experiments on about 500 simulated tsunami scenarios in a restricted region suggest that the approach can interpolate among relatively similar scenarios to some extent, while also revealing reduced accuracy in coastal areas. Building on this foundation, the project will construct a dataset of approximately 12,000 tsunami simulation scenarios for the Pacific coast of Tohoku and examine the applicability of the framework to a broader range of tsunami-generation conditions. Particular attention will be paid to the relation between latent representation quality and prediction accuracy, and to sampling and loss design in coastal regions. Through these analyses, the study seeks to assess the feasibility and limitations of physics-aware machine learning for real-time tsunami prediction.

(4) An Integrated Analysis of Housing, Livelihood, and Financial Support in WUI Fires: A Case Study of Forest Fires in Ofunato City

Principal Investigator

Shoko Araki(Iwate University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Akihiro Shibayama(Disaster Culture and Archive Studies)

Summary of the Research

This study examines the 2025 Ofunato City forest fire to clarify the actual conditions of housing and livelihood reconstruction from the emergency response phase through the recovery and reconstruction processes, focusing on the interrelationship between residential location choices and financial support. In particular, in WUI (Wildland–Urban Interface) areas where forests and urban areas are in close proximity, residential locations and livelihoods (such as fishing and agriculture) are closely intertwined. Consequently, decisions regarding housing reconstruction are not merely a matter of site selection but are characterized by constraints related to the continuation of livelihoods and local institutional frameworks. Based on questionnaire surveys and interviews, this study analyzes (1) the actual conditions of emergency housing selection and residential site selection, (2) the actual application of insurance, mutual aid, and public support, and (3) the structural relationship between the two. Through this analysis, the study aims to clarify the decision-making process for rebuilding lives following small-scale disasters and the impact of those decisions on livelihoods.

(5) Impact-Based Climate Attribution Framework for Landslide Risk in Southeast Asia

Principal Investigator

Nilo Lemuel J. Dolojan(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This study will propose a new framework to quantify the attribution of landslide hazard and risk to climate change, called "impact-based attribution". This will be achieved by the fusion of physics-based slope stability simulations and large ensemble simulations of heavy rainfall under historical, current, and projected climate conditions. The simulation results will quantify how climate change-induced changes in rainfall intensity, duration, and distribution affect slope stability and landslide risks. The proposed research will transform conventional climate change attribution studies of extreme weather events to practical "impact-based" assessments of climate change on disaster events.

(6) A Study on the Safety of Temple Spaces in Flood-Prone Areas of the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand.

Principal Investigator

Daisuke Komori(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

With regard to low-frequency, catastrophic disasters, geological investigations̶such as analyses of tsunami deposits and ice core samples̶and collaborative research with historians on historical documents have revealed the history of natural disasters spanning hundreds of years; however, there are no case studies of low-frequency, large-scale disasters on a centuries-long timescale specifically concerning flood disasters. Therefore, focusing on the Chao Phraya River in Thailand, we aim to estimate the scale and frequency of past floods based on changes in the elevation of temples built over several centuries in flood-prone areas of slow-flowing rivers, and to undertake the challenge of reproducing the worst-ever flood on record and assessing the risk of low-frequency, large-scale disasters on a centuries-long timescale. As slow-flowing rivers on the continent have low flood flow velocities and uniform flood patterns, it is presumed that, before the advent of modern technology, temple foundations were empirically designed based on the natural disaster risks and disaster experiences of the time. Therefore, we will identify flood-prone areas and the temples established there long ago using historical inundation maps, and model the relationship between the probable flood depth at these temples̶determined through field surveys and numerical modelling̶and changes in the height of the temple embankments. This research, which is rare even on a global scale, is expected to serve as a useful tool for contributing to Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 11: Sustainable Cities and Communities.

(7) Understanding and Mitigating "Modern Research Fatigue": A Study on the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake Recovery

Principal Investigator

Ryohei Yamashita(Ishikawa Prefectural University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Yuta Hara(2030 Global DRR Agenda Office)

Summary of the Research

Research fatigue following catastrophic disasters and the inefficiency of reconstruction efforts—stemming from insufficient coordination among the public, private, and academic sectors—remain persistent challenges . In addition to conventional survey methods, modern information tools and media may exert both positive and negative influences on the intensification or mitigation of research activities . Using the Noto Peninsula Earthquake as a case study, this research aims to grasp the reality of these issues, decode their underlying mechanisms, and return the obtained insights to the field.

(8) Memory, Forgetting, and Future-Making in Post-Disaster Japan

Principal Investigator

Judit Kroo(University of Melbourne )

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Julia Gerster(Disaster Memory Studies Lab)

Summary of the Research

This research investigates how post-disaster communities in Tohoku and the Noto Peninsula transform practices of remembering and forgetting into resources for future-making. Building on the team's previous project examining the dialectic between memory and forgetting after the 2011 and 2024 disasters, this extension develops a new theoretical framework examining how the lingering presence of disaster's material and affective traces (“haunting”) becomes a site where communities negotiate possible futures. Through ethnographic fieldwork, interviews, and collaborative analysis, the project will produce co-authored publications, and a collaborative workshop on how to balance opposing opinions on preserving disaster memories for sustainable and resilient community recovery.

(9) Real-Time Prediction of Slope Disasters Caused by Heavy Rainfall over a Large Area
~Case Study for Hachinohe City~

Principal Investigator

Kenta Tozato(Hachinohe Institute of Technology)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Shuji Moriguchi(Computational Safety Engineering Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study aims to conduct numerical simulations of slope hazards caused by heavy rainfall in Hachinohe City, and to evaluate the risk of slope hazards over a wide area. Using the analysis results, we will construct a framework that enables real-time prediction of slope disaster hazard from rainfall information.

(10) Clarifying and Proposing Solutions for Institutional Challenges of Indirect Disaster-Related Deaths in Japan

Principal Investigator

Motohiro Tsuboi(Japanese Red Cross Saitama Hospital)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Shinichi Egawa(International Cooperation for Disaster Medicine Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study aims to elucidate the systemic challenges underlying indirect disaster-related deaths in Japan by analyzing anonymized case records of individuals officially recognized as indirect disasterrelated deaths, obtained through information disclosure requests. In addition to cross-sectional analyses of variables such as time of death, cause of death, age, and sex, the study focuses on evacuation living conditions to examine factors and potential countermeasures related to indirect disaster-related deaths through both quantitative and qualitative approaches. Based on the findings, the study seeks to contribute to the visualization and reduction of indirect disaster-related health impacts by formulating recommendations and building consensus on the appropriate documentation of disaster relevance in death certificates and the definition of indirect disaster-related deaths.

(11) Advancing International Collaborative Research on Sustainability and Basin Management in Sedentarizing Agro-Pastoral Communities: The Case of Inner Mongolia

Principal Investigator

Yuta Hara(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This study focuses on Inner Mongolia, China, and aims to conduct exploratory research to understand “sedentarization-based knowledge” in agro-pastoral communities of Han and Mongolian residents, as well as integrated resource management in the Yellow River basin. By examining afforestation and resettlement policies alongside the issue of soil salinization from a basin-wide perspective, the project seeks to reconcile livelihood improvement with the sustainable preservation of agro-pastoral cultures, while establishing a foundation for international collaborative research with the Institute of Grassland Research (IGR) of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS).

(12) Human Mobility Resilience under Extreme Weather: A Curriculum Learning Framework

Principal Investigator

Wei Yuan(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This research proposes a curriculum learning framework to improve human mobility resilience analysis under extreme weather events. It first characterizes weather shocks using snow depth and related hazard indicators. It then examines how mobility changes both across grids (inter-grid) and within grids (intra-grid) to capture disruption patterns at multiple spatial scales. Based on these weather–mobility interactions, the study develops a spatiotemporal prediction framework that progressively learns from easy to difficult patterns. Using the Niigata snow disaster as an illustrative case, the project aims to build a generalizable framework for mobility disruption assessment and disaster response support.

(13) Developing Community-Based Risk Communication Strategies for Permafrost Thaw in Alaska Native Communities: Promoting Resilience to Slow-Onset Disasters under Arctic Climate Change

Principal Investigator

Kumiko Nakano(Tohoku University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Yuta Hara(2030 Global DRR Agenda Office)

Summary of the Research

This study examine the environmental and ecological impacts of permafrost thaw as a slow-onset climate-related hazard in Arctic Alaska. It aims to conceptualize and identify the impacts of permafrost thaw, such as land deformation, inundation, related housing damage, and potential health risks from the release of water and microorganisms stored in permafrost, as a form of slow-onset disaster.  By integrating geoscientific, epidemiological, and humanistic knowledge, the project aims to assess and respond to these risks through a participatory approach. Conducted as a Japan–U.S. collaborative effort, the study seeks to develop community-based risk communication strategies that enhance the disaster resilience and preparedness of Indigenous communities in Arctic Alaska. The project integrates spatial analysis and microbial ecology. Using Gambell, Alaska as a case study, Geographic Information System (GIS)–based analyses were conducted to evaluate land vulnerability and identify potential relocation suitability areas by integrating topographic and environmental spatial data. In parallel, permafrost samples were analyzed using 16S rRNA gene sequencing to characterize microbial community diversity and composition under thaw conditions. Future expansion of the study will include northern communities such as Wainwright, where thaw impacts are expected to be more pronounced. Ultimately, the project seeks to develop an integrated framework linking slow-onset environmental change, spatial vulnerability, and microbial ecological dynamics, contributing to adaptation planning and long-term risk assessment in Arctic regions.

(14) National Survey on the Status of Individual Evacuation Plan Development in Special Needs Schools

Principal Investigator

Rieko Takahashi(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

We will conduct a nationwide survey of individual evacuation plans at special needs schools, analysing best practices in reasonable accommodation and location trends using GIS. By providing ongoing guidance to education authorities based on scientific data, we aim to establish a ‘disaster management model’ that ensures the safety of pupils is equally guaranteed in every region of the country, regardless of local environmental conditions, and to develop a highly effective system.

(15) A Study on Educational Interventions for Changing Perceptions of the Situation, Based on the Perspective of Ensuring Daily Living Functions, Aimed at Supporting Children and Adults Requiring Medical Care During Disasters

Principal Investigator

Rieko Takahashi(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

One of the social challenges surrounding children and adults requiring medical care during disasters is that their needs are sometimes ‘overlooked and excluded’. To address this, it is necessary to secure human resources among support staff and to foster the acquisition and development of multifaceted perspectives. In this study, we will design and evaluate the effectiveness of an educational intervention aimed at ‘expanding the cognitive framework’ for new support staff, with the aim of developing a training package that can be rolled out to other regions.

(16) Systematization of Practical Knowledge of Bosai Communication Through Collaborative Platforms and Promotion of Evidence-Based Implementation

Principal Investigator

Yo Fukushima(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

By applying insights from public health, this study aims to establish a practical foundation for "Bosai Communication Studies" that promotes evidence-based behavioral change. Centered on a collaborative platform between academia and practitioners, we will develop a system for sharing case studies, facilitate interdisciplinary workshops, and co-design community-based intervention prototypes. This research validates a co-creation model that circulates practical wisdom from the field and academic insights.

(17) Development of multi-layered inclusive disaster risk reduction strategies in Banda Aceh, Indonesia

Principal Investigator

Sebastien P. Boret(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This research draws on three years of research (2023–2025) examining the state of inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) among persons with disabilities (PwDs) since the 2004 Tsunami in Indonesia. Our initial findings show that post-tsunami global and national policies frequently fail to translate into accessible infrastructure for Acehnese persons with disabilities. Building on this empirical insight, the study develops a novel framework that conceptualises disability as a form of social capital, analyses how societal capacity shapes inclusion, and proposes a multi-layered pathway to integrate their specialised knowledge into formal systems, thereby strengthening disaster resilience across at the governance and grassroots levels.

(18) Assessing AI Solutions to Bridge the Care Gap in Evacuation Shelters: A pilot survey in Miyagi, Iwate, and Fukushima Prefectures

Principal Investigator

Sebastien P. Boret(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This pilot study examines how inclusive artificial intelligence (AI) can help address care gaps for persons with disabilities (PwDs) and older people during evacuation. Focusing on the Great East Japan Earthquake, it investigates both the potential and the challenges of deploying AI in real-world evacuation settings. The study draws on field surveys of PwDs and older adults, as well as interviews with practitioners involved in disaster response and care. By identifying critical gaps in existing support systems, the study establishes a baseline for inclusive, technology-enabled disaster risk reduction and informs transdisciplinary collaboration toward more resilient and accessible evacuation strategies.

(19) Citizens' DRR behavior and perception regarding seismic reinforcement of their private house and construction of DRR social network

Principal Investigator

Natsuko Chubachi(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Through semi-structured interviews with citizens and Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) officials, we will identify elements and contexts that encourage or hinder citizens' everyday DRR behavior and awareness. In particular, this research will focus on citizens' behavior and perception regarding the seismic reinforcement of private houses and the construction of a DRR social network in their community. Those two are critical for DRR but challenging for many people to implement. The findings will help to identify and resolve weaknesses in everyday DRR.

(20) Disaster risk assessment using underground built heritage in the Kashio River basin

Principal Investigator

Chiaki Oguchi(Institute of Science Tokyo)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Takayuki Takahashi(Inland Earthquake and Volcano Lab)

Summary of the Research

This research will focus on the alluvial lowlands of the Taya area, located in the middle reaches of the Kashio River in Sakae Ward, Yokohama City. By conducting intensive boring surveys and radiocarbon dating, and reconstructing the paleotopography and paleoenvironment with high precision from historical ground elevation and flood inundation levels, we aim to make clear the relationship between the location of Taya caves, which have existed since the Kamakura period (14th century), and flood risk avoidance, thereby contributing to the evaluation of modern flood control methods for small and medium-sized rivers.

(21) An Examination of Risk Communication Processes Within Families During Nuclear Disasters: Focusing on Perceptual Discrepancies Between Spouses

Principal Investigator

Naoto Nihonmatsu(University of Toyama)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Ryo Saito(Cognitive Sciences Lab)

Summary of the Research

The purpose of this study is to clarify the mechanisms underlying the factors that promote or hinder satisfactory interaction within the family risk communication process. Through semi-structured interviews with married couples, we will collect accounts of their decision-making processes during the nuclear accident. In particular, we will focus on and examine the processes by which role perceptions, differences in evaluation criteria, and evaluative dissonance arise between spouses.

(22) Leading research on support coordination functions and support receiving plans for schools in disaster-stricken areas

Principal Investigator

Takeshi Sato(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

In order to promote the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction in the education sector, and while the Comprehensive School Safety Framework (GADRRES) is being developed, this project will promote the mainstreaming of disaster risk reduction in the education sector by conducting pioneering research on support coordination functions and support receiving plans for schools in disaster-stricken areas, based on surveys and analyses of existing support frameworks such as DMAT, DHEAT, and GADM.

(23) Numerical Investigation of Disaster Prevention Potential of Forests: Auto-Generation of Tree Models and Fluid-Tree Coupling Simulation

Principal Investigator

Kumpei Tsuji(Tohoku University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Reika Nomura(Computational Safety Engineering Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study aims to clarify the mechanical mechanisms underlying the disaster mitigation functions of forests by developing a numerical framework that integrates tree morphology generation and fluid–structure interaction analysis. A tree morphology generation method based on the L-system and the Space Colonization Algorithm is employed to automatically generate three-dimensional tree models with branching and tapering structures. These models are incorporated into fluid simulations to analyze the interaction between trees and surrounding flow fields.
The developed framework enables fluid–structure interaction analyses that account for both the complex morphology of trees and their anisotropic material behavior. Detailed simulations are first conducted for single-tree models to investigate how tree morphology and material properties influence flow structures and hydrodynamic forces. The framework is then extended to forest-scale simulations using beam-element finite element models, allowing efficient representation of large numbers of trees. Through systematic numerical experiments, key indicators such as flow reduction, drag characteristics, and energy dissipation are evaluated to quantify the flow attenuation effects of forests. The results are expected to provide a quantitative understanding of the mechanical mechanisms through which forest structures contribute to disaster mitigation.

(24) A Practical Study of Building an Inclusive Workplace Environment to Support Disaster Risk Reduction for People with Hearing Impairments: Focusing on Sign Language Classes and Lunch Cafes to Promote Interaction in Informal Settings

Principal Investigator

Miki Ishikawa(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

In workplaces that include people with hearing impairments, difficulties in interaction in informal settings have been particularly prominent. To address this issue, this study introduces sign language classes and lunch cafes as practical opportunities to facilitate such interactions. The study aims to examine how these initiatives are associated with (1) interaction in informal settings and (2) disaster risk reduction for people with hearing impairments.

(25) Developing a Real-Time DRR Information Utilization Model in Schools: Enhancing Decision-Making and Evacuation Actions through a School Timeline

Principal Investigator

Yoshiyuki Murayama(IRIDeS, Tohoku University)

Summary of the Research

This study aims to develop and implement a real-time disaster risk reduction (DRR) information utilization model in schools, focusing on enhancing the decision-making capacity of teachers—non-experts in disaster response—during emergencies. Recognizing that schools serve children, who are considered a particularly vulnerable population, the project introduces a “School Timeline” to support timely evacuation decisions by making effective use of the limited lead time available. The model will be integrated into existing school-based disaster preparedness mechanisms, including evacuation plans, manuals, drills, collaboration with local communities, and disaster education. Through this approach, the study seeks to advance a comprehensive and context-sensitive risk communication framework for school disaster management.

(26) Geomorphological Study on Sediment Production and Transport Processes Associated with Debris Flows

Principal Investigator

Tomohiro Takaba(Oita University)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Takayuki Takahashi(Inland Earthquake and Volcano Lab)

Summary of the Research

This study aims to understand the series of sediment production and transport processes associated with slope failures and debris flows triggered by heavy rain events in recent years from the insight of geomorphology. Field investigations will be conducted in Nagai City (Yamagata Prefecture), Hita City (Oita Prefecture), and the Oku-Noto region (Ishikawa Prefecture). These investigations will involve detailed observation and description of rainfall-induced landform changes and associated deposits on hillslopes and in river channels. In addition, outcrop surveys and laboratory analyses will be carried out to reconstruct the history of heavy rain events in the past.

(27) Transformative Resilience: Unpacking the Implementation Processes of Nature-based Solutions (NbS) in Post-Haiyan Leyte

Principal Investigator

Kanako Iuchi(IRIDeS, Tohoku University

Summary of the Research

This study focuses on sites in the northeastern coastal areas devastated by Typhoon Haiyan where Nature-Based Solutions (NbS) have been adopted. It empirically unpacks the land-use transition realized through mangrove reforestation. Employing an interdisciplinary analysis from the perspectives of urban planning, coastal engineering, and international disaster management policy, the study examines key aspects of constructing transformative resilience, including financial mechanisms, multi-stakeholder collaboration, and natural resilience. The findings will contribute to policy insights and scholarly knowledge for achieving sustainable regional rebuilding.

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  3 Research on Elucidating Social Dynamics Using Human Mobility Data

(1) Research on developing methods to estimate economic damage using human flow data, etc.

Principal Investigator

Itaru Morita(Nippon Koei Co.,Ltd.)

Co-investigator from IRIDeS

Erick Mas(Disaster Geo-informatics Lab)

Summary of the Research

This research aims to quantify changes in population dynamics and economic activity during disasters using human flow data, and to construct a general-purpose early post-disaster estimation (preliminary estimation) model applicable to multiple disasters. Through this, we aim to establish evaluation technologies that contribute to the resilience of regional industries and other sectors.

Disaster Resilience Co-Creation Research Project